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Packard Rankings versus RPI

Last year Basketball Colorado compared and contrasted the RPI and the Packard System hoping to spur talk about how the RPI model could be changed to make it more equitable. Packard uses a different formula and when used as predictor is more right more often than not. 
The Packard Rankings have not been updates since Tuesday so please take that into consideration.




ERIK PACKARD COMPUTER RANKINGS
COLORADO HS BOYS BASKETBALL
2/13/2018
Includes games to 2/12/2018
DIV DRANK    TEAM                   W  L  POWER OVERALL   2/11/18
5A     1  GEORGE WASHINGTON        17  5 172.0      1       1 
5A     2  THUNDERRIDGE             20  1 171.0      2       2 
5A     3  ROCK CANYON              19  1 170.0      3       3 
5A     4  CHAPARRAL                17  4 167.7      4       4 
5A     5  SMOKY HILL               16  5 163.4      5       5 
5A     6  GRANDVIEW                17  4 162.7      6       6 
5A     7  OVERLAND                 12  9 162.5      7       7 
5A     8  DENVER EAST              20  2 162.3      8       8 
5A     9  REGIS                    17  4 154.9      9       9 
5A    10  DOHERTY                  18  4 151.5     10      10 
5A    11  HIGHLANDS RANCH          16  5 148.4     12      12 
5A    12  EAGLECREST               12  9 148.0     13      13 
5A    13  MOUNTAIN VISTA           13  8 144.9     14      15  
5A    14  CHERRY CREEK             12  9 143.0     18      17 
5A    15  LEGEND                   11 10 142.2     19      19 
5A    16  RANGEVIEW                15  6 140.8     20      20 
5A    17  RAMPART                  15  6 140.4     21      21 
5A    18  LIBERTY                  16  6 140.4     22      23 
5A    19  MULLEN                   10 11 139.6     24      24 
5A    20  CHEROKEE TRAIL            9 12 138.4     25      25 
5A    21  BROOMFIELD               14  7 136.6     26      26 
5A    22  DOUGLAS COUNTY           13  7 135.4     27      27 
5A    23  FAIRVIEW                 14  7 133.7     29      29 
5A    24  ARVADA WEST              14  7 131.8     32      32 
5A    25  MOUNTAIN RANGE           13  8 129.7     33      33 
5A    26  BEAR CREEK               13  7 129.6     34      34 
5A    27  ARAPAHOE                  4 17 128.9     38      38 
5A    28  VISTA RIDGE              12  9 128.7     39      39 
5A    29  CASTLE VIEW              12  9 128.4     40      40 
5A    30  FOUNTAIN-FORT CARSON      9 12 128.1     41      42 
5A    31  CHATFIELD                11 10 128.0     42      43 
5A    32  BOULDER                  12  9 127.6     44      44 
5A    33  DAKOTA RIDGE             11 10 127.6     45      45 
5A    34  FOSSIL RIDGE             10 11 127.2     46      46 
5A    35  COLUMBINE                11 10 127.2     47      47 
5A    36  FAR NORTHEAST            14  8 126.3     48      48 
5A    37  DENVER SOUTH             10 10 125.6     50      50 
5A    38  LINCOLN                   9 12 124.9     53      52 
5A    39  MONARCH                  10 11 124.0     54      54 
5A    40  FRUITA                   15  7 123.0     55      56 
5A    41  ROCKY MOUNTAIN            9 12 123.0     56      55 
5A    42  LEGACY                   13  8 122.1     58      58 
5A    43  LAKEWOOD                  6 15 120.3     65      66 
5A    44  HORIZON                  13  8 120.1     66      65 
5A    45  GREELEY WEST             12 10 119.5     68      68 
5A    46  PINE CREEK                8 13 118.2     70      70 
5A    47  BRIGHTON                 12  9 117.9     71      71 
5A    48  PALMER                    7 14 117.7     73      73
Rank Team RPI Record WP OWP OOWP
1 Rock Canyon 0.693 21-1-0 0.955 0.632 0.555
2 ThunderRidge 0.667 21-1-0 0.955 0.579 0.556
3 Denver East 0.663 20-2-0 0.909 0.611 0.520
4 Chaparral 0.662 18-4-0 0.818 0.637 0.557
5 Grandview 0.639 18-4-0 0.818 0.591 0.555
6 Doherty 0.636 18-4-0 0.818 0.589 0.548
7 Overland 0.633 13-9-0 0.591 0.691 0.559
8 Regis Jesuit 0.633 17-5-0 0.773 0.600 0.559
9 George Washington 0.630 17-5-0 0.773 0.600 0.548
10 Rampart 0.619 16-6-0 0.727 0.602 0.544
11 Highlands Ranch 0.612 15-6-0 0.714 0.594 0.547
12 Smoky Hill 0.606 16-6-0 0.727 0.570 0.556
13 Liberty 0.605 17-6-0 0.739 0.566 0.548
14 Mountain Vista 0.598 14-8-0 0.636 0.598 0.559
15 Broomfield 0.578 16-7-0 0.696 0.548 0.519
16 Eaglecrest 0.573 12-9-0 0.571 0.577 0.567
17 Vista Ridge 0.571 13-9-0 0.591 0.574 0.543
18 Rangeview 0.569 15-6-0 0.714 0.521 0.518
19 Fruita Monument 0.569 15-7-0 0.682 0.539 0.514
20 Legend 0.563 12-10-0 0.545 0.579 0.546
21 Fairview 0.559 16-7-0 0.696 0.511 0.520
22 Far Northeast Warriors 0.549 14-8-0 0.636 0.522 0.515
23 Douglas County 0.544 14-8-0 0.636 0.508 0.525
24 Cherry Creek 0.537 12-10-0 0.545 0.520 0.562
25 Cherokee Trail 0.534 9-12-0 0.429 0.571 0.567
26 Fossil Ridge 0.533 12-11-0 0.522 0.545 0.521
27 Mountain Range 0.530 13-9-0 0.591 0.519 0.492
28 Arvada West 0.530 15-8-0 0.652 0.482 0.505
29 Dakota Ridge 0.527 13-10-0 0.565 0.516 0.512
30 Greeley West 0.522 12-11-0 0.522 0.529 0.506
31 Castle View 0.521 12-11-0 0.522 0.516 0.531
32 Lincoln 0.518 10-12-0 0.455 0.554 0.511
33 Brighton 0.517 15-8-0 0.652 0.466 0.484
34 Fountain-Fort Carson 0.513 10-12-0 0.455 0.528 0.540
35 Columbine 0.512 12-10-0 0.545 0.499 0.503
36 Bear Creek 0.510 14-8-0 0.636 0.451 0.502
37 Mullen 0.504 9-12-0 0.429 0.516 0.554
38 Boulder 0.503 12-11-0 0.522 0.490 0.511
39 Denver South 0.502 11-11-0 0.500 0.496 0.517
40 Rocky Mountain 0.501 9-14-0 0.391 0.548 0.516
41 Poudre 0.501 11-12-0 0.478 0.508 0.508
42 Horizon 0.498 14-9-0 0.609 0.444 0.497
43 Monarch 0.497 12-11-0 0.522 0.473 0.519
44 Legacy 0.496 14-9-0 0.609 0.443 0.489
45 Chatfield 0.493 11-11-0 0.500 0.487 0.496
46 Pine Creek 0.490 8-14-0 0.364 0.536 0.525
47 Prairie View 0.474 11-11-0 0.500 0.466 0.461
48 Arapahoe 0.470 4-18-0 0.182 0.572 0.554

4A     1  LONGMONT                 20  1 144.5     15      14 
4A     2  LEWIS-PALMER             19  2 143.3     16      16 
4A     3  PUEBLO SOUTH             19  2 143.3     17      18 
4A     4  GOLDEN                   18  3 140.4     23      22 
4A     5  VALOR CHRISTIAN          14  7 134.3     28      28 
4A     6  FALCON                   16  5 132.6     30      30 
4A     7  WIDEFIELD                17  4 132.6     31      31 
4A     8  MESA RIDGE               14  6 129.6     35      35 
4A     9  PUEBLO WEST              15  6 129.3     36      36 
4A    10  EVERGREEN                17  4 129.2     37      37 
4A    11  SILVER CREEK             18  4 127.6     43      41 
4A    12  WINDSOR                  15  6 126.0     49      49 
4A    13  VISTA PEAK               12  9 125.0     52      53 
4A    14  HOLY FAMILY              13  8 122.5     57      57 
4A    15  PONDEROSA                13  8 122.1     59      59 
4A    16  PALMER RIDGE             14  7 122.0     60      60 
4A    17  MEAD                     13  8 121.9     61      61 
4A    18  D'EVELYN                 11 10 121.7     62      63 
4A    19  THOMAS JEFFERSON         12  9 121.6     63      62 
4A    20  ELIZABETH                13  7 121.5     64      64 
4A    21  SIERRA                   12 10 119.8     67      67 
4A    22  CLASSICAL ACADEMY        14  7 118.9     69      69 
4A    23  GLENWOOD SPRINGS         18  4 117.8     72      72 
4A    24  THOMPSON VALLEY          15  6 117.4     74      75 
4A    25  ROOSEVELT                14  7 117.2     75      74 
4A    26  CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN         9 12 114.9     78      78 
4A    27  PUEBLO EAST              13  8 113.0     83      84 
4A    28  MONTROSE                 15  6 112.7     85      86 
4A    29  MOUNTAIN VIEW            11 11 112.5     87      91 
4A    30  GREELEY CENTRAL          10 12 112.4     88      83 
4A    31  ERIE                     11 10 112.2     91      88 
4A    32  DISCOVERY CANYON         10 11 111.6     93      93 
4A    33  SKYVIEW                  14  7 110.7     95      95 
4A    34  FORT MORGAN              10 11 110.0     98      98 
4A    35  STANDLEY LAKE             9 12 109.5    100     100 
4A    36  AIR ACADEMY               9 12 108.6    102     102 
4A    37  HARRISON                  8 13 108.1    104     104 
4A    38  PUEBLO CENTRAL            7 14 107.7    105     105 
4A    39  PUEBLO COUNTY            10 11 107.3    107     107 
4A    40  STEAMBOAT SPRINGS        12  9 107.0    109     109 
4A    41  CENTAURUS                 7 14 105.1    112     111 
4A    42  WOODLAND PARK            10 12 104.3    115     115 
4A    43  GREEN MOUNTAIN            8 13 103.9    116     117 
4A    44  NORTHRIDGE                5 17 103.9    117     116 
4A    45  CONIFER                  11 11 102.6    118     119 
4A    46  WHEAT RIDGE               5 15 102.3    119     118  
4A    47  BERTHOUD                  6 14 102.1    122     120 
4A    48  BATTLE MOUNTAIN          11  9 101.9    123     123
Rank Team RPI Record WP OWP OOWP
1 Golden 0.655 20-3-0 0.870 0.612 0.527
2 Pueblo South 0.654 20-2-0 0.909 0.585 0.536
3 Lewis-Palmer 0.653 20-2-0 0.909 0.579 0.545
4 Longmont 0.621 21-1-0 0.955 0.511 0.508
5 Falcon 0.610 17-5-0 0.773 0.564 0.540
6 Pueblo West 0.595 16-6-0 0.727 0.560 0.534
7 Silver Creek 0.587 19-4-0 0.826 0.511 0.500
8 Evergreen 0.583 18-5-0 0.783 0.510 0.528
9 Valor Christian 0.582 15-8-0 0.652 0.569 0.536
10 Widefield 0.580 19-4-0 0.826 0.493 0.510
11 Glenwood Springs 0.572 19-4-0 0.826 0.473 0.518
12 Montrose 0.569 15-6-0 0.714 0.523 0.515
13 Windsor 0.567 15-6-0 0.714 0.519 0.515
14 D’Evelyn 0.566 12-11-0 0.522 0.606 0.529
15 Elizabeth 0.565 15-7-0 0.682 0.538 0.502
16 Palmer Ridge 0.559 15-7-0 0.682 0.508 0.539
17 Ponderosa 0.558 13-9-0 0.591 0.550 0.540
18 Roosevelt 0.553 15-7-0 0.682 0.514 0.502
19 Mead 0.548 13-9-0 0.591 0.543 0.515
20 Steamboat Springs 0.546 14-9-0 0.609 0.539 0.496
21 Holy Family 0.543 14-8-0 0.636 0.511 0.516
22 Mesa Ridge 0.542 16-7-0 0.696 0.482 0.507
23 Vista PEAK Prep 0.534 13-9-0 0.591 0.526 0.491
24 The Classical Academy 0.533 15-8-0 0.652 0.489 0.503
25 Thomas Jefferson 0.530 12-10-0 0.545 0.534 0.509
26 Cheyenne Mountain 0.529 9-13-0 0.409 0.586 0.535
27 Battle Mountain 0.528 12-9-0 0.571 0.525 0.489
28 Fort Morgan 0.517 12-11-0 0.522 0.534 0.478
29 Mountain View 0.517 12-11-0 0.522 0.524 0.500
30 Pueblo East 0.515 12-9-0 0.571 0.483 0.525
31 Thompson Valley 0.515 14-7-0 0.667 0.444 0.504
32 Pueblo County 0.510 10-12-0 0.455 0.531 0.524
33 Sierra 0.506 12-11-0 0.522 0.498 0.507
34 Pueblo Central 0.503 8-14-0 0.364 0.563 0.521
35 Kennedy 0.497 13-9-0 0.591 0.459 0.480
36 Air Academy 0.496 9-13-0 0.409 0.523 0.528
37 Discovery Canyon 0.495 10-12-0 0.455 0.499 0.529
38 Greeley Central 0.493 10-13-0 0.435 0.519 0.501
39 Standley Lake 0.490 10-13-0 0.435 0.508 0.512
40 Erie 0.490 11-11-0 0.500 0.479 0.501
41 Conifer 0.488 12-11-0 0.522 0.471 0.486
42 Skyview 0.487 15-7-0 0.682 0.395 0.477
43 Littleton 0.471 8-15-0 0.348 0.509 0.517
44 Green Mountain 0.470 9-14-0 0.391 0.480 0.531
45 Wheat Ridge 0.464 6-16-0 0.273 0.532 0.521
46 Harrison 0.462 9-14-0 0.391 0.476 0.505
47 Woodland Park 0.451 10-13-0 0.435 0.435 0.498
48 Summit 0.449 10-13-0 0.435 0.435 0.492